Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.158533 0.188664 0.222516 0.263303 0.311047 0.365099 0.430865
2025-05-18 0.108674 0.145477 0.191480 0.252945 0.332631 0.432128 0.565434
2025-05-25 0.080191 0.117365 0.167717 0.240381 0.341939 0.478119 0.673697
2025-06-01 0.066266 0.104365 0.159470 0.244115 0.369781 0.548133 0.818741
2025-06-08 0.053167 0.089465 0.145153 0.235591 0.377229 0.588536 0.924901
2025-06-15 0.046288 0.082570 0.141185 0.241111 0.405023 0.660292 1.083672
2025-06-22 0.040064 0.075475 0.135502 0.242541 0.425762 0.722543 1.233544
2025-06-29 0.034228 0.067930 0.127735 0.239010 0.437274 0.770458 1.364506
2025-07-06 0.029498 0.061512 0.120837 0.235727 0.448265 0.817900 1.498631
2025-07-13 0.027196 0.059299 0.121147 0.245290 0.482745 0.908455 1.715191
2025-07-20 0.026208 0.059517 0.125999 0.263837 0.535547 1.036143 2.009380
2025-07-27 0.024210 0.057285 0.125688 0.272189 0.569786 1.133154 2.256564
2025-08-03 0.021136 0.052384 0.119644 0.269034 0.582844 1.195083 2.450731
2025-08-10 0.017899 0.046543 0.110796 0.258938 0.580977 1.228851 2.596011
2025-08-17 0.014984 0.040874 0.101378 0.246129 0.571595 1.246368 2.710523
2025-08-24 0.013607 0.038723 0.099575 0.249949 0.598166 1.339246 2.986587
2025-08-31 0.011668 0.034733 0.092787 0.241234 0.595779 1.371266 3.139062
2025-09-07 0.010767 0.033342 0.092097 0.246879 0.626625 1.477162 3.458695
2025-09-14 0.009759 0.031452 0.089845 0.248340 0.647788 1.563841 3.744663
2025-09-21 0.008649 0.029034 0.085826 0.244730 0.656252 1.622765 3.974355
2025-09-28 0.007687 0.026864 0.082118 0.241374 0.664866 1.682755 4.212047
2025-10-05 0.007312 0.026459 0.083247 0.251152 0.707878 1.827539 4.660081
2025-10-12 0.007265 0.027109 0.087499 0.270114 0.776859 2.040852 5.289163